Liberal survey: Sanders cruising, Buttigieg rising

Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I) has strengthened his grip on the liberal base but there is growing interest on the left in South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE, according to a new survey of progressive activists.

The survey from the liberal group Democracy for America (DFA), which counted votes from 96,641 of its members, finds Sanders with a comfortable lead over the Democratic presidential primary field at 42.3 percent support. That’s up from 36.2 percent in the same survey from December.

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) is in second place at 10.5 percent, up from 7.9 percent in the previous poll.

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Buttigieg is by far the biggest gainer, coming out of nowhere for a third place showing with 9.7 percent support.

His meteoric rise has caught the attention of Washington insiders and establishment Democrats. But Buttigieg’s strength among grass-roots liberals in the poll could be a sign that his campaign has staying power. Buttigieg has also seen a rise in the polls in early voting states, such as Iowa and New Hampshire.

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (Texas) saw their support plunge in the survey.

Biden, who is expected to enter the race this week, is in fourth place at 7.9 percent, down from 14.9 percent in the previous survey. The former vice president has scores of influential Democratic allies and donors waiting on the sidelines to support him, but his entrance into the race sets the stage for a brutal battle between progressives and mainstream Democrats over the future direction of the party.

O’Rourke is in seventh place at 3.5 percent, down from 12.3 percent in the December poll. The former Texas congressman entered the race with high expectations after nearly toppling Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote The Hill’s Morning Report – Trump’s public standing sags after Floyd protests GOP senators introduce resolution opposing calls to defund the police MORE (R-Texas) last year, but he’s seen much of his momentum blunted by the rise of Buttigieg, who is similarly pitching generational change.

“While these new poll results show Bernie Sanders retaining and even strengthening his support among progressives, the big shifts in support for the broad field of candidate we’ve seen over the last three months make it clear that Democracy for America members are very open to changing their minds, discovering new candidates, and reevaluating potential nominees based on the campaign they run in the months ahead,” said Charles Chamberlain, the chairman for DFA.

The DFA survey also found surprising support for former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel, at 6.3 percent, and tech entrepreneur Andrew YangAndrew YangGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality Andrew Yang discusses his universal basic income pilot program Andrew Yang on the George Floyd protests in Minneapolis MORE, at 2.7 percent.

Nationally, Gravel clocks in just behind Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.), who is at 6.8 percent. He has nearly twice the support of O’Rourke and is in fourth place among Iowa’s DFA members, with 7.6 percent support, ahead of Biden.

“While Mayor Buttigieg was the top ‘surprise’ candidate …  the enthusiastic response that the largely internet-­based campaigns of former Congressman Mike Gravel and entrepreneur Andrew Yang received in our poll were also notable,” DFA wrote in its analysis.

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“It would be foolish for Democrats or the media to ignore the genuine interest our poll shows the grassroots have in their campaigns and, most importantly, the big ideas that fuel them like ending all wars and universal basic income.”

Sanders holds commanding leads across the board in the early voting states.

Sanders leads in Iowa with 43.8 percent support, followed by Buttigieg at 10.2 percent, Warren at 9.9 percent, Gravel at 7.6 percent and Biden at 6.2 percent.

In New Hampshire, Sanders is at 42.3 percent, followed by Buttigieg at 9.3 percent, Harris at 8.4 percent, Biden at 7.9 percent and Warren at 7.5 percent.

Sanders scores highest in Nevada, with 45.9 percent support, followed by Buttigieg at 9.3 percent, Warren at 8.6 percent, Harris at 8.2 percent and Biden at 7.5 percent.

In South Carolina, Sanders is at 41.3 percent support, followed by Buttigieg at 12 percent, Biden at 10.7 percent, Warren at 8.9 percent and Harris at 4.9 percent.

The DFA member survey was conducted April 1-19.