New Hampshire Turnout Prediction For 2024 Presidential Election? 824K

November 1, 2024 0 By JohnValbyNation

CONCORD, NH — New Hampshire’s secretary of state predicts the highest voter turnout ever in the Granite State for the 2024 general election.

Secretary of State David Scanlan believes 824,000 voters in the state will cast ballots on Nov. 5. Along with the record voter turnout, he also said there would be many Election Day registrations.

Scanlan said many “inactive” voters — voters who have not cast ballots in several election cycles, were purged from the rolls in 2021.

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Many of those voters, he said, were expected to re-register on Election Day — so voters and poll workers should expect lines when the polls open and steady voting throughout the day.

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Voters can visit the Secretary of State’s Voter Information Lookup site at app.sos.nh.gov to find their polling location and hours.

The latest party registration numbers were not available at press time.

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However, the last round of numbers, published on Sept. 30, showed 895,387 registered voters in the state. Based on that number, Scanlan calls for a 92 percent voter turnout on Nov. 5 — an unprecedented number.

In 2020, there were 1.12 million registered voters, and another 75,000 registered on Election Day, bringing the total number of registered voters to more than 1.19 million. Slightly less than 815,000 voters cast ballots, meaning the turnout was around 68 percent (although state records show 72.2 percent turnout, the highest since 1996).

In 2016, there were a little more than 1 million registered voters and 83,000 registering on Election Day. Nearly 756,000 voters cast ballots, or around 69 percent.


View the historical turnout for New Hampshire here.


In the latest registration data, “undeclared” voters made up the most in the state. There were 318,221 “undeclared” voters registered — but that was down by about 13,000 in June and 130,000 voters since November 2020. Republicans made up the second-largest registered voters at slightly more than 308,000. That is up by about 45,000 since December 2023 but down 25,000 since November 2020. Registered Democrats made up 269,000. That is up 11,000 since June but down 69,000 since November 2020.

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